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Citizen Audit - Detailed Findings

BACKGROUND
United Nations countries belong to an organization called the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This organization releases a report every six years. Often referred to as the "climate bible," it is relied on by governments around the world.

The 2007 report is divided into three smaller reports - written by Working Group 1, 2 and 3 - and contains 44 chapters in total. The chairman of the IPCC has repeatedly claimed that the report relies solely on peer-reviewed literature to support its findings. This is not the case.

2007
IPCC report (AR4)
% of references not peer-reviewed number not
peer-reviewed
total number of references
report overall 30 5,587 18,531
Working Group 3 57 2,307 4,033
Working Group 2 34 2,849 8,272
Working Group 1 7 431 6,226
Table 3 [web image]
 

OUR METHODOLOGY
A team of 43 volunteers from 12 countries examined the list of references at the end of each chapter. We sorted these references into two groups - articles published in peer-reviewed academic journals and other references. Not every reference is adequately documented, and classifying some as peer-reviewed or gray literature involves a measure of discretion. Our How-To Guide advised auditors to: "Give the IPCC the benefit of the doubt." 

Each chapter was examined by three citizen auditors working independently of each other (often on different continents). On those occasions in which the auditors arrived at slightly different results, the span between the highest and lowest result does not exceed five percent. We used the result most favorable to the IPCC in determining our findings. [more about our quality assurance mechanisms]

 

to see the citizen audits of each chapter, click the a, b, and c

Working
Group
3
grade % of references peer-reviewed number not
peer-reviewed
total number of references
Chapter 1
a   b   c
F 24 38 50
Chapter 2
a   b   c
F 46 164 302
Chapter 3
a   b   c
F 58 150 358
Chapter 4
a   b   c
F 15 306 360
Chapter 5
a   b   c
F 27 189 260
Chapter 6
a   b   c
F 29 270 379
Chapter 7
a   b   c
F 23 271 352
Chapter 8
a   b   c
C 77 72 317
Chapter 9
a   b   c
F 56 100 229
Chapter 10
a   b   c
F 47 102 191
Chapter 11
a   b   c
D 62 127 330
Chapter 12
a   b   c
F 37 262 414
Chapter 13
a   b   c
F 48 256 491
      2,307 4,033
Table 4

 

to see the citizen audits of each chapter, click the a, b, and c

Working
Group
2
grade % of references peer-reviewed number not
peer-reviewed
total number of references
Chapter 1
a   b   c
B 86 92 650
Chapter 2
a   b   c
D 67 122 374
Chapter 3
a   b   c
C 71 109 377
Chapter 4
a   b   c
B 82 167 917
Chapter 5
a   b   c
C 70 134 444
Chapter 6
a   b   c
D 65 157 443
Chapter 7
a   b   c
F 46 132 244
Chapter 8
a   b   c
C 75 137 557
Chapter 9
a   b   c
F 53 168 361
Chapter 10
a   b   c
F 59 160 391
Chapter 11
a   b   c
F 42 214 372
Chapter 12
a   b   c
C 71 186 633
Chapter 13
a   b   c
F 40 211 354
Chapter 14
a   b   c
F 58 235 562
Chapter 15
a   b   c
D 68 115 361
Chapter 16
a   b   c
F 58 81 194
Chapter 17
a   b   c
F 53 129 275
Chapter 18
a   b   c
F 56 119 270
Chapter 19
a   b   c
C 71 78 273
Chapter 20
a   b   c
F 53 103 220
      2,849 8,272
Table 5


to see the citizen audits of each chapter, click the a, b, and c

Working
Group
1
grade % of references peer-reviewed number not
peer-reviewed
total number of references
Chapter 1
a   b   c
B 80 54 264
Chapter 2
a   b   c
A 95 41 759
Chapter 3
a   b   c
A  96 33 804
Chapter 4
a   b   c
B 85 39 257
Chapter 5
a   b   c
A  96 13 289
Chapter 6
a   b   c
A 93 43 609
Chapter 7
a   b   c
A 96 32 869
Chapter 8
a   b   c
A 94 44 686
Chapter 9
a   b   c
A  94 34 535
Chapter 10
a   b   c
A  95 29 545
Chapter 11
a   b   c
B 89 69 609
      431 6,226
Table 6

 

Citizen Audit graphic                                                   IPCC graphic

   

 

 

 

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